The two million Beijingers, who are products of single
child families, are expected to cause a major baby boom by the end
of the decade as they are entitled to have two children.
More than a third of the young couples who were both
raised as single children say they will exercise their right to
have two babies, causing birth rates in the capital to almost
double by 2010, according to a survey by the Beijing Population
Research Institute.
Government statistics show that about 78,000 babies
are born each year in Beijing. The research institute says there
could be 140,000 newborns in 2010.
The survey, recently released at the Capital
Population Development Forum, asked more than 1,300 of Beijing's
couples aged between 20 and 34, who were reared as only children,
about their plans of having babies.
The new government policy is that when a single child
marries another single child, the couple is entitled to have two
children.
Almost 36 percent of the survey respondents said they
want two children. The figure rises significantly from a similar
survey four years ago when 19.5 percent said they were planning to
have two babies.
Nearly 60 percent of those entitled to have two kids
said they would have only one or no children at all.
Beijing has more than two
million registered only children.
Wang Guangzhou, a research fellow with the Institute
of Population and Labor Economics under the Chinese Academy of
Social Sciences, who conducted the survey, said the country's
"another baby" policy will cause a peak in birth rates five year
earlier than expected. Pervious estimates suggested the baby boom
would happen in 2015.
Formulated in the early 1970s, China's family planning
policy encourages late marriage, late childbearing and one-child
families.
Statistics also show that China's population would be
400 million higher than it is now if the one-child family policy
had not been put in place.
China officially announced
its population reached 1.3 billion in January 2005.
(Xinhua News Agency December 18, 2006)
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