As the Qinghai-Tibet railway gets set to launch its maiden run
on July 1, not only is national pride on the rise but continuing
analysis of the practical benefits show the region is likely to
experience an economic boom.
"We have a saying that half of the Tibet's gross domestic
product (GDP) has been left on the road, which will become outdated
once the railway starts running," said Chidain Doje, a professor of
economics at Qinghai University of Nationalities.
While the province of Qinghai and the region of Tibet are both massively rich in natural
resources, their combined economies are less than one thirtieth the
size of Shanghai's. Although the economic comparison may not be
entirely fair, experts agree the railway will be akin to pulling
the cork out of the bottleneck that has held the region's
development back for decades.
A ton of coal or cement now sells for more than 800 yuan
(US$100) in Lhasa, the regional capital of Tibet, almost four times
the price in the country's inland provinces. Transportation costs
for even these essential products now account for 75 percent of the
price.
Once the new rail line becomes fully operational, the region's
total capacity to move products in and resources out is expected to
increase 45 times its current level.
With projections and calculations such as these, it's little
wonder people are talking about the dawning of a golden age of
development for what many called China's final frontier.
Now developers can seriously consider mining and manufacturing
as viable industries for Qinghai and Tibet. The railway will mean
they can now get heavy machinery into the remote, resource-rich
region and in turn they can move raw materials by the millions of
tons all the way to port cities. The railway is expected to have
its biggest and most immediate impact on Tibet's tourism
industry.
Even in its relative remoteness more than 2.5 million tourists
are expected to come to Tibet this year. Now that travelers can
jump a train in Shanghai and get off in Lhasa tourism is expected
to double by 2010 with annual direct tourism income of 5.8 billion
yuan (US$725 million), said Xu Hao, deputy director of the Tibet
regional tourism department. The regional government is working
hard on improving tourist infrastructure to meet the influx of
visitors that are expected by the end of the decade.
"As transportation improves the development of natural
resources, local talent and the spreading of (Western China)
culture will all benefit," said Zhou Liqun, head of the economics
school of the prestigious Nankai University.
(Xinhua News Agency June 23, 2006)
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