Large foreign direct investment (FDI) contracts flowed back to
China in December to enable the nation's 2003 FDI record to rise a
hard-won 1.44 percent from the previous year, to reach US$53.5
billion in paid-in terms, according to the Ministry of Commerce
Wednesday.
The manufacturing industry continued to be a star performer,
garnering 70 percent of the total investment.
This ended the debate whether China, the world's largest FDI
recipient in 2002, would see a negative growth in capital imports
after it experienced two-digit falls for five straight months since
July.
But December's strong revival in FDI influx put an end to the
downward trend. The ministry did not specify the December data. But
according to industry analysts, FDI in December reached US$6.35
billion, rising 24.8 percent year-on-year.
"Electronics, telecom equipment, chemicals and machinery were the
hottest areas in the manufacturing industry last year, and the
trend is unlikely to change in 2004,'' Jin Bosheng, director of the
foreign investment research department of the Chinese Academy of
International Trade and Economic Cooperation, told China Daily.
He
added that he believed the December surge indicates the weakening
of repercussions from the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)
outbreak which threatened the nation's economy in the earlier
months of 2003.
In
a region-by-region analysis, Shanghai and the three provinces of
Jiangsu, Guangdong and Shandong were the top FDI destinations last
year.
Jin, who remained optimistic that FDI would not be lower than the
2002 level, predicted in September that a boom cycle would come at
the turn of the year.
He
said that the number has been a significant achievement, since the
global capital flow dropped this year because of a gloomy world
economic climate.
The number was, however, lower than an internal target of US$57
billion.
According to the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
(UNCTAD), global FDI flows in 2003 remained flat, at US$653
billion, and China's share was 8 percent of it.
Statistics from UNCTAD reveal that China, which replaced the United
States as the world's largest FDI recipient in 2002 for the first
time, in turn lost its title to the US.
FDI flows to the US tripled to US$86.6 billion last year.
In
the meantime, a debate still continues over whether China will slow
down in 2004, although Jin added that "momentum is still
robust.''
The number of foreign investment contracts showed that lots of
money is waiting to flow into China, he said. Contracted foreign
investment in 2003, an indicator of future trends, was US$115
billion, soaring 39 percent from a year earlier, the ministry
said.
"China will continue to be a hot destination for FDI, since no
drastic change happens in its favorable macro-situation,'' Jin
said.
He
explained that China is maintaining strong economic performance,
quick foreign trade growth and expanding opening areas to
investors.
China is also maintaining a stable political situation and secure
investment environment, whereas many other countries are troubled
by fears of terrorism and other matters.
"More destinations favored by foreign investors like the Yangzte
River Delta and Pearl River Delta will be forged when foreign
investors move some industries outside developed countries," he
said, and predicted that FDI will hit US$70 billion this year.
However, some economists still do not look favorably on China. Hui
Tai, an economist with Standard Chartered, said FDI would slow this
year because of fewer big deals.
(China Daily January 15, 2004)
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